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Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform that allows users to create and trade on forecasts about future events. It uses play money and social incentives to aggregate collective intelligence and generate probabilistic predictions on various topics.
No account needed. Chat with AI and run tools instantly.
Domain knowledge for Manifold Markets — workflow patterns, data models, and gotchas for your AI agent.
Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform where users create and trade on forecasts about future events using play money. This service provides read-only access to market data, user information, and betting activity to help analyze collective intelligence and probabilistic predictions.
Market Intelligence: Search and explore prediction markets with filtering options. Retrieve detailed market information including current probabilities, trading volume, resolution criteria, and market metadata.
User Analysis: Look up user profiles by username to understand trader activity, market creation history, and participation patterns across the platform.
Betting Data: Access detailed betting information from specific markets or users. Filter bets by various criteria to analyze trading patterns, market dynamics, and user behavior over time.
Discovery: Search for users by username or display name to find specific traders or explore the community.
Markets represent forecasting questions with probability-based pricing. Users create markets, place bets, and earn points through accurate predictions. Bets reflect confidence levels in outcomes and drive price discovery through collective trading activity.
Markets use play money (Manifold dollars) but generate real predictive value through social incentives. Resolution mechanisms ensure markets close with definitive outcomes. The platform covers diverse topics from politics to technology to personal challenges.
Manifold Markets is a prediction market platform that allows users to create and trade on forecasts about future events. It uses play money and social incentives to aggregate collective intelligence and generate probabilistic predictions on various topics. It provides tools that AI agents can use through the Model Context Protocol (MCP).
Add the MCPBundles server URL to your MCP client configuration (Claude Desktop, Cursor, VS Code, etc.). The URL format is: https://mcp.mcpbundles.com/bundle/manifold-markets-mcp. Authentication is handled automatically.
Manifold Markets uses open data APIs — no authentication required.
Connect Manifold Markets to any MCP client in minutes
Model Context Protocol lets AI tools call external capabilities securely through a single URL. This bundle groups tools behind an MCP endpoint that many clients can use.
Skip the manual setup! Use the .mcpb file format for one-click installation. Check the Claude Desktop tab for setup instructions.
Select ChatGPT, Cursor, Claude Code, or another tab for copy-paste config.
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